Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 43.2% ( | 27.9% ( | 28.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.72% ( | 59.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.31% ( | 79.69% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.79% ( | 27.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.38% ( | 62.62% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.81% ( | 73.19% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 43.2% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 2-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.89% |