La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 2, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Strand Larsen (34'), Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, September 27 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-1 Alaves
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Celta Vigo
43.9% ( 0.36)	26.75% ( 0.23)	29.35% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 49.8% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.07% (

-1.13)

54.93% (

1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.79% (

-0.94)

76.21% (

0.94)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.15% (

-0.32)

24.85% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

-0.45)

59.46% (

0.45)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.26% (

-1.03)

33.74% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.61% (

-1.13)

70.39% (

1.13)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 43.9%

Celta Vigo 29.35%

Draw 26.75%

Las Palmas	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.9%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.35%