Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.67% ( 3.17) | 24.41% ( -0.09) | 27.92% ( -3.08) |
Both teams to score 56.28% ( -1.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.95% ( -1.27) | 46.05% ( 1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -1.21) | 68.35% ( 1.21) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.59% ( 0.83) | 19.41% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.77% ( 1.35) | 51.23% ( -1.35) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -2.77) | 30.17% ( 2.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% ( -3.45) | 66.33% ( 3.45) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 9.6% ( 0.74) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.79) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.53) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.33) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | Barcelona | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 39 | 29 | 73 |
3 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |