Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.