La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
0 - 1
Barcelona

Mendez (49'), Zubeldia (74'), Zubimendi (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Araujo (90+2')
Felix (49'), Martinez (60'), Gavi (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Bunol 0-1 Real Sociedad
Wednesday, November 1 at 5.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, October 28 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 49.65%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Barcelona
26.74% ( 0.02)	23.61% ( -0.02)	49.65% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.65% (

0.1)

43.35% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.26% (

0.1)

65.75% (

-0.09)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

0.07)

29.65% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.31% (

0.08)

65.69% (

-0.08)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.42% (

0.04)

17.58% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.86% (

0.06)

48.14% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 26.74%

Barcelona 49.65%

Draw 23.61%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 26.74%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.61%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.65%