La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 22, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Guiu (80')
Gavi (16'), Romeu (41'), Guiu (83'), Guiu (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (37'), Ares (73'), de Marcos (89')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Granada 2-2 Barcelona
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Almeria
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
59.39% ( 0.08)	21.95% ( -0.04)	18.66% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.8% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85% (

0.1)

45.15% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.51% (

0.09)

67.49% (

-0.09)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17% (

0.06)

14.82% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.88% (

0.11)

43.12% (

-0.11)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.99% (

0.01)

38.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.22% (

0.01)

74.78% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 59.38%

Athletic Bilbao 18.66%

Draw 21.95%

Barcelona	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.26% 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 59.38%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.95%	0-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 18.66%