La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 6, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT San Mames Barria
  • Gorka Guruzeta 10' goal
  • Ander Herrera 52' yellowcard
  • Dani Garcia 63' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 81' goal
  • Oscar de Marcos 84' yellowcard

Athletic Bilbao vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 8.00pm
Real Sociedad 3 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Gorka Guruzeta

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 1, 2023 1.00pm
Almeria 3 - 3 Granada
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Athletic Bilbao 61.78% (+0.06)
Draw 21.46% (-0.02)
Almeria 16.76% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.68% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.89% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 46.1% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 31.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.4% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 15.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.21% (+0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 85.62% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 14.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 57.73% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 42.27% (-0.03)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 59.19% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 40.81% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 22.61% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.38% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Athletic Bilbao 61.78%
Draw 21.46%
Almeria 16.76%
Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.38% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.03% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.13% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 61.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.2%
0-0 @ 5.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 21.46%
Almeria
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.36% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 16.76%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 22, 2023 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
  • Alex Centelles 90'+2' goal
  • goal Nico Williams 9'
  • goal Oscar de Marcos 56'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2022 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT San Mamés Barria
  • Inaki Williams 10' goal
  • Oihan Sancet 17' goal
  • Nico Williams 62' goal
  • Mikel Vesga 84' goal
La Liga
Mar 21, 2015 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Xabier Etxeita 9' goal
  • Ibai Gomez 19' yellowcard
  • Mikel Rico 26' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Dubarbier 13'
  • goal Balenziaga 47' (OG)
  • yellowcard Fran Velez 48'
  • yellowcard Fernando Soriano 80'
  • yellowcard Tomer Hemed 90'
  • redcard Fran Velez 91'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 93'
La Liga
Oct 25, 2014 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Thomas Partey 13' yellowcard
  • Verza 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andoni Iraloa 54'
  • goal Xabier Etxeitia 56'
La Liga
May 18, 2014 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ramon Azeez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erik Moran 17'
  • yellowcard Benat Etxebarria 32'
  • yellowcard Mikel Balenziaga 35'
  • yellowcard Aymeric Laporte 56'
  • yellowcard Ander Herrera 90'
La Liga
Jan 11, 2014 3.00pm
6
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Moreno Mikel Rico 6' goal
  • Ander Herrera 11' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 30' goal
  • Mikel San Jose 34' yellowcard
  • Artiz Aduriz 52' goal
  • Moreno Mikel Rico 63' yellowcard
  • Ibai Gomez 68' goal
  • Ibai Gomez 86' goal
  • goal Helder Barbosa 34'
  • yellowcard Marco Torsiglieri 36'