La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
3 - 3
Granada

Suarez Charris (41', 44', 45+1')
Puigmal (65'), Akieme (82')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Zaragoza (66' pen.), Sanchez (70'), Uzuni (86')
Jose Lopez Fernandez (69+69'), Villar (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 5-1 Almeria
Tuesday, September 26 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Granada 1-1 Betis
Thursday, September 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Granada
41.7% ( 1.37)	26.3% ( -0.13)	32% ( -1.23)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

0.25)

52.16% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.13% (

0.21)

73.87% (

-0.21)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27% (

0.83)

24.73% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.72% (

1.14)

59.28% (

-1.13)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.58% (

-0.69)

30.42% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.38% (

-0.83)

66.62% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Almeria 41.69%

Granada 32%

Draw 26.29%

Almeria	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.69%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 32%