Champions League
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 13'
  • yellowcard Ronald Araujo 28'
  • yellowcard Xavi 30'
  • yellowcard Gavi 36'
  • goal Ferran Torres 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jules Kounde 47'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 50'
  • yellowcard Sergi Roberto 86'
  • redcard Gavi 90'+3'

Porto vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
Shakhtar 1 - 3 Porto

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 8.00pm
Barcelona 5 - 0 Antwerp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result

Porto 39.31% (-0.08)
Draw 24.17% (+0.01)
Barcelona 36.52% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.78% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.26% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.74% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.86% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.14% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.91% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.09% (+0.01)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 78.66% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.33% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 45.7% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 54.29% (+0.07)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 77.26% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 22.74% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 43.58% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 56.42% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Porto 39.31%
Draw 24.17%
Barcelona 36.52%
Porto
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.49% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.85% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
Barcelona
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.19% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.06% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 36.52%

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