La Liga Gameweek 11
Barcelona
Oct 28, 2023 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
Real Madrid
  • Ilkay Gundogan 6' goal
  • Fermin Lopez 17' yellowcard
  • Ferran Torres 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 61'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 68'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 90'+2'

Barcelona vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2023 8.00pm
Barcelona 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
79
Top scorer
Robert Lewandowski

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm
Sevilla 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

Barcelona 46.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 22.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Real Madrid 31% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.8% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 37.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 40.78% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 59.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 77.24% ▲ (+0.03)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 83.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 16.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 53.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 46.21% ▲ (+0.02)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 76.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 42.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.68% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Barcelona 46.14%
Draw 22.85%
Real Madrid 31%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.47%
Total : 46.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.85%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.06%
1-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Barcelona
Jul 29, 2023 10.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT AT&T Stadium
Real Madrid
  • Ousmane Dembele 15' goal
  • Frenkie de Jong 41' yellowcard
  • Jules Kounde 62' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 71' yellowcard
  • Fermin Lopez Marin 85' goal
  • Ferran Torres 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 25'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 34'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 45'+3'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 81'
Copa del Rey
Barcelona
Apr 5, 2023 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid
  • goal Vinicius Junior 45'+1'
  • goal Karim Benzema 50'
  • goal Karim Benzema 58'
  • goal Karim Benzema 80'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Barcelona
Mar 19, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Spotify Camp Nou
Real Madrid
  • Sergi Roberto 45' goal
  • Franck Kessie 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ronald Araujo 9' (OG)
Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Mar 2, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Barcelona
  • goal Eder Militao 26' (OG)
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 15, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
Barcelona
  • Karim Benzema 90'+3' goal
  • goal Gavi 33'
  • goal Robert Lewandowski 45'
  • goal Pedri 69'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Real Madrid
Oct 16, 2022 3.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Barcelona
  • Karim Benzema 12' goal
  • Federico Valverde 35' goal
  • Rodrygo 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ferran Torres 83'

Form Data

Barcelona 2 - 1 Shakhtar
Barcelona 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Granada 2 - 2 Barcelona
Porto 0 - 1 Barcelona
Barcelona 1 - 0 Sevilla
Mallorca 2 - 2 Barcelona
Braga 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Sevilla 1 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Osasuna
Napoli 2 - 3 Real Madrid
Girona 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Las Palmas

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