Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 5.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys
  • Ferran Torres 28' goal
  • Fermin Lopez 36' goal
  • Ferran Torres 43' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Balde 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dmytro Kryskiv 50'
  • goal Heorhiy Sudakov 62'
  • yellowcard Yukhym Konoplya 72'
  • yellowcard Valeriy Bondar 87'

Barcelona vs Shakhtar Donetsk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 1 Barcelona

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 5.45pm
Antwerp 2 - 3 Shakhtar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 69.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 3-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result

Barcelona 69.87% (+0.23)
Draw 16.81% (-0.07)
Shakhtar Donetsk 13.31% (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.66% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.45% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 31.54% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 46.97% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 53.03% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 28.01% (-0.10)
Under 4.5 71.99% (+0.10)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5 91.89% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 8.11% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 71.52% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.48% (-0.07)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5 63.84% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 36.16% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 27.06% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 72.94% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Barcelona 69.87%
Draw 16.81%
Shakhtar Donetsk 13.31%
Barcelona
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.75% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 7.37% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 4.95% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.01% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 2.52% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.45% (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.02% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 69.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.49% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.81%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1-2 @ 3.81% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 2.98% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 13.31%