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Champions League

Royal Antwerp
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Bosuilstadion
Shakhtar Donetsk

Antwerp
2 - 3
Shakhtar

Muja (3'), Ange Balikwisha (34')
Keita (12'), Janssen (37'), Alderweireld (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sikan (48', 76'), Rakitskiy (71')
Konoplya (36'), Rakitskiy (66'), Sikan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Royal Antwerp and Shakhtar Donetsk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Royal Antwerp

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Mechelen 0-0 Antwerp
Saturday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Shakhtar 1-2 Vorskla
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.45%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Royal AntwerpDrawShakhtar Donetsk
45.81% (0.247 0.25)23.24% (0.050999999999998 0.05)30.95% (-0.297 -0.3)
Both teams to score 62.38% (-0.339 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.11% (-0.381 -0.38)38.89% (0.383 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.8% (-0.403 -0.4)61.2% (0.404 0.4)
Royal Antwerp Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)17.34% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)47.72% (0.095000000000006 0.1)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.363 -0.36)24.53% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.99% (-0.514 -0.51)59.01% (0.515 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Royal Antwerp 45.81%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 30.95%
    Draw 23.24%
Royal AntwerpDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.036 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.45% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 45.81%
1-1 @ 10.47% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.077 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.95%

How you voted: Antwerp vs Shakhtar

Royal Antwerp
26.1%
Draw
20.3%
Shakhtar Donetsk
53.6%
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