Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oblasny SportKomplex Metalist

Shakhtar
1 - 2
Vorskla

Zubkov (57')
Stepanenko (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sklyar (22' pen.), Nesterenko (71')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Vorskla Poltava.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Rukh Lviv 1-1 Shakhtar
Saturday, September 23 at 5pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Vorskla Poltava

All competitions
Last Game: Vorskla 1-4 Kryvbas Kryvyi
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Shakhtar DonetskDrawVorskla Poltava
60.38% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)21.36% (0.036999999999999 0.04)18.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.81% (-0.18 -0.18)43.19% (0.181 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.41% (-0.178 -0.18)65.58% (0.179 0.18)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.13% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)13.87% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.73% (-0.128 -0.13)41.27% (0.128 0.13)
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (-0.123 -0.12)37.31% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91% (-0.119 -0.12)74.09% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Shakhtar Donetsk 60.38%
    Vorskla Poltava 18.25%
    Draw 21.35%
Shakhtar DonetskDrawVorskla Poltava
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 60.38%
1-1 @ 10.07% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 4.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 18.25%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 1.20pm
Gameweek 30
Vorskla
2-1
Shakhtar
Sulejmanov (37' pen.), Pavliuk (50')
Sulejmanov (22'), Isenko (90+4')
Perduta (74')
Bondarenko (80')
Nov 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 15
Shakhtar
3-2
Vorskla
Sudakov (27'), Kryskiv (47'), Mudryk (86' pen.)
Sulejmanov (62'), Chelyadin (75')
Apr 30, 2022 1am
Gameweek 22
Shakhtar
P-P
Vorskla
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Vorskla
0-2
Shakhtar

Thill (19'), Perduta (59')
Thill (29')
Tete (65'), Solomon (79')
Fernando (41')
Apr 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Vorskla
0-2
Shakhtar

Puclin (31')
Moraes (42', 62')
Marlos (45+3'), Maycon (88')