Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.