Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Veres had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Veres win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.