Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dila win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dila win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.