Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	LNZ Cherkasy
59.47% ( 0.37)	22.46% ( -0.14)	18.07% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.79% (

0.21)

48.21% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.63% (

0.19)

70.37% (

-0.19)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.16% (

0.2)

15.84% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.98% (

0.36)

45.02% (

-0.36)

LNZ Cherkasy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.52% (

-0.15)

40.48% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.91% (

-0.14)

77.09% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 59.46%

LNZ Cherkasy 18.07%

Draw 22.46%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	LNZ Cherkasy
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 59.46%	1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.46%	0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.07%