Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 25.18% ( | 26.19% ( | 48.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.81% ( | 55.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( | 76.43% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.73% ( | 37.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( | 74.05% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( | 22.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( | 56.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 2-1 @ 6.11% 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 3-1 @ 2.01% ( 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 3-0 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.18% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( 0-2 @ 9.3% ( 1-2 @ 9.18% ( 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 1-3 @ 4.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-4 @ 1.7% ( 1-4 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.62% |