Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.