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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 37.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.78%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 37.52% ( | 23.6% ( | 38.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.13% ( | 38.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.82% ( | 61.18% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.05% ( | 20.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.31% ( | 53.69% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( | 20.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( | 52.66% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 2-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 37.52% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 4.49% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 38.88% |