Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 1
FC Twente

Fraulo (23')
Flamingo (30'), van der Hoorn (35'), Azarkan (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Steijn (31' pen.)
Sadilek (45+6'), Ugalde (45+3'), Hilgers (90+3')
Sadilek (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Utrecht
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 2-1 Feyenoord
Sunday, October 29 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 56.34%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 0-1 (7.85%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	FC Twente
22.39% ( 0.73)	21.27% ( 0.28)	56.34% ( -1.01)

Both teams to score 61.25% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.18% (

-0.39)

36.81% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.01% (

-0.43)

58.99% (

0.43)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

0.42)

29.58% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

0.5)

65.61% (

-0.5)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.98% (

-0.42)

13.02% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.44% (

-0.87)

39.56% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 22.39%

FC Twente 56.34%

Draw 21.27%

FC Utrecht	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.39%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.38% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.92% Total : 56.34%