Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.