/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Futrlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Ryan Flamingo
44'
-
Mike van der Hoorn
48'
-
Jens Toornstra
71'
-
Oscar Fraulo
90'
-
Mats Seuntjens
90'+4'
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Kristian Hlynsson
52'
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Kristian Hlynsson
55'
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Steven Bergwijn
65'
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Borna Sosa
75'
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Benjamin Tahirovic
83'
FC Utrecht vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result
FC Utrecht
32.29%
▲
(+1.48)
Draw
23.27%
▲
(+0.66)
Ajax
44.45%
▼
(-2.14)
Both Teams to Score:
62.96%
▼
(-1.67)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.59%
▼
(-2.50)
Under 2.5
38.41%
▲
(+2.50)
Over 3.5
39.3%
▼
(-2.70)
Under 3.5
60.7%
▲
(+2.70)
Over 4.5
21.58%
▼
(-2.19)
Under 4.5
78.42%
▲
(+2.19)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5
76.49%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
23.51%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
42.45%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
57.55%
▲
(+0.51)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
82.31%
▼
(-1.79)
Under 0.5
17.69%
▲
(+1.79)
Over 1.5
51.67%
▼
(-3.19)
Under 1.5
48.33%
▲
(+3.19)
Score analysis
FC Utrecht
32.29%
Draw
23.26%
Ajax
44.45%
FC Utrecht
2-1
@
7.55%
▲
(+0.31)
1-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.64)
2-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.29%
1-0 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.64)
2-0 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.42)
3-1 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.19)
4-1 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.29%
Draw
1-1
@
10.42%
▲
(+0.52)
2-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.48)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
2-2 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.48)
3-3 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
Ajax
1-2
@
9.03%
▼
(-0.08)
0-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.44)
0-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.22)
1-4 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.31)
2-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.25)
0-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.45%
0-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.44)
0-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.37)
2-3 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.31)
0-3 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.22)
1-4 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.31)
2-4 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.25)
0-4 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.45%