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FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
Ajax

Utrecht
4 - 3
Ajax

Flamingo (44'), van der Hoorn (48'), Toornstra (71'), Fraulo (90')
Seuntjens (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hlynsson (52', 55'), Bergwijn (65' pen.)
Sosa (75'), Tahirovic (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Last Game: Volendam 1-0 Utrecht
Friday, October 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-2 AZ
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
32.29% (1.477 1.48)23.27% (0.652 0.65)44.45% (-2.131 -2.13)
Both teams to score 62.96% (-1.662 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.59% (-2.495 -2.5)38.41% (2.493 2.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.3% (-2.695 -2.7)60.7% (2.693 2.69)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)23.51% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)57.55% (0.505 0.5)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.31% (-1.789 -1.79)17.69% (1.787 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.67% (-3.189 -3.19)48.33% (3.188 3.19)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 32.29%
    Ajax 44.45%
    Draw 23.26%
FC UtrechtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.305 0.31)
1-0 @ 6.02% (0.633 0.63)
2-0 @ 4.36% (0.418 0.42)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.183 0.18)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 10.42% (0.514 0.51)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.16% (0.475 0.48)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.168 -0.17)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.431 0.43)
0-2 @ 6.24% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.22% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.306 -0.31)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.45%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Ajax

FC Utrecht
7.1%
Draw
14.3%
Ajax
78.6%
42
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 33
Ajax
3-1
Utrecht
Bergwijn (20'), Brobbey (68'), Klaassen (90+3')
Douvikas (49')
Douvikas (75')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 4
Utrecht
0-2
Ajax

Boussaid (54'), Dost (88')
Berghuis (10'), Brobbey (45+1')
Maduro (35'), Rensch (36'), Tadic (70')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 17
Utrecht
0-3
Ajax

Maher (20'), Boussaid (45+1')
Antony (5'), Brobbey (19', 45+2')
Mazraoui (65')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 7
Ajax
0-1
Utrecht

Gravenberch (50')
Warmerdam (77')
van der Maarel (38'), Paes (63'), Maher (67'), Maduro (79')
> Preview
Apr 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ajax
1-1
Utrecht
Alvarez (70')
Kudus (53'), Tagliafico (87')
Gustafson (13' pen.)
> Preview