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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 33.2% ( | 24.62% ( | 42.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% ( | 25.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.11% ( | 60.89% ( |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( | 21.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( | 54.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 2-0 @ 5.01% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 33.2% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0-3 @ 3.42% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.18% |