Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.