Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 11, 2023 at 7pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
3 - 3
Nijmegen

Steijn (43', 76'), Ugalde (87')
Ugalde (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ross (47'), van Rooij (56'), Baas (65')
Proper (84'), Ogawa (86'), Ross (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, November 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 Volendam
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 67.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for NEC had a probability of 13.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	NEC
67.5% ( -0.48)	18.58% ( 0.26)	13.91% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 53.55% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.15% (

-0.69)

38.85% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.84% (

-0.72)

61.16% (

0.72)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.42% (

-0.31)

10.58% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.64% (

-0.7)

34.35% (

0.7)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.88% (

-0.12)

40.11% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.24% (

-0.11)

76.76% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 67.5%

NEC 13.91%

Draw 18.58%

FC Twente	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.44% Total : 67.5%	1-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.58%	1-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.91%