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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 57.93% ( | 20.73% ( | 21.35% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.43% ( | 35.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.38% ( | 57.62% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( | 12.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.23% ( | 37.77% ( |
| Almere City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( | 65.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Almere City |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 5-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( 0-1 @ 4.38% ( 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 3% Total : 21.35% |