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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Almere City |
57.93% ( 0.04) | 20.73% ( -0.02) | 21.35% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.68% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% ( 0.07) | 35.56% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% ( 0.08) | 57.62% ( -0.08) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% ( 0.03) | 12.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.23% ( 0.07) | 37.77% ( -0.07) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( 0.02) | 29.78% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( 0.03) | 65.85% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 57.93% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 21.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
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