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NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
1 - 1
Almere City

Mattsson (69')
van Rooij (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kitala (35')
Koopmeiners (20'), Hansen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 7 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, October 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.93%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 21.35% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (5.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
NECDrawAlmere City
57.93% (0.039999999999999 0.04)20.73% (-0.02 -0.02)21.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.68% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.069999999999993 0.07)35.56% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.076999999999998 0.08)57.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.034999999999997 0.03)12.15% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.23% (0.070999999999998 0.07)37.77% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (0.022999999999996 0.02)29.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (0.029000000000003 0.03)65.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 57.93%
    Almere City 21.35%
    Draw 20.73%
NECDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 57.93%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 20.73%
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 21.35%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Almere City
2-0
Nijmegen
Verheydt (18', 58' pen.)
Smeets (38')

Bukusu (16'), van Rooij (51')
Sep 20, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 4
Nijmegen
0-1
Almere City
Mirani (57')
Lesquoy (10'), Ahannach (83')
Apr 13, 2020 1.30pm
Dec 13, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
2-3
Almere City
Balker (65' og.), Kvida (71')
Proper (79'), Flemming (90')
Efmorfidis (23'), Kip (34'), Verheydt (72')
Feb 22, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 26
Nijmegen
5-0
Almere City
Okita (21', 37'), Bossaerts (42', 82'), Bruijn (72')