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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
70.45% ( 0.2) | 16.76% ( -0.1) | 12.8% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 57.21% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.37% ( 0.27) | 32.62% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.71% ( 0.31) | 54.29% ( -0.31) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.74% ( 0.11) | 8.26% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.15% ( 0.27) | 28.85% ( -0.27) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.36% ( 0.04) | 37.64% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.58% ( 0.04) | 74.42% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | FC Volendam |
2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.45% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.76% | 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 103 | 17 | 86 | 84 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 27 | 58 |
5 | Ajax | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 65 | 58 | 7 | 49 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Heerenveen | 31 | 10 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 36 |
11 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 33 |
14 | Heracles | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 25 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 75 | -45 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 31 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 25 | 70 | -45 | 2 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |