Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Goffertstadion

Nijmegen
3 - 3
Volendam

Ogawa (6', 90+8'), Mattsson (90+1' pen.)
Tavsan (8'), Mattsson (41'), Schone (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Muhren (34'), de Haan (78'), Twigt (90+6')
Twigt (87'), Backhaus (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Volendam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Volendam

All competitions

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 3-0 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
NEC	Draw	FC Volendam
70.45% ( 0.2)	16.76% ( -0.1)	12.8% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 57.21% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.37% (

0.27)

32.62% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.71% (

0.31)

54.29% (

-0.31)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.74% (

0.11)

8.26% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.15% (

0.27)

28.85% (

-0.27)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

0.04)

37.64% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58% (

0.04)

74.42% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

NEC 70.45%

FC Volendam 12.8%

Draw 16.76%

NEC	Draw	FC Volendam
2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.45%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 16.76%	1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.8%