Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 78.06%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 8.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ajax in this match.