Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brighton2 - 0Ajax
FT(HT: 1-0)
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion beat Ajax 2-0 at the Amex Stadium to claim their first-ever victory in European competition.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Utrecht 4-3 Ajax
Sunday, October 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Sunday, October 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 38.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.93%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Ajax |
38.53% ( -0.06) | 21.51% ( 0.01) | 39.96% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 71.4% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.95% ( -0.05) | 28.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.19% ( -0.06) | 48.81% ( 0.06) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% ( -0.04) | 15.77% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.09% ( -0.08) | 44.91% ( 0.08) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% ( -0) | 15.22% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.12% ( -0.01) | 43.88% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion 38.53%
Ajax 39.96%
Draw 21.51%
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.1% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.14% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 4.14% Total : 39.96% |
How you voted: Brighton vs Ajax
Brighton & Hove Albion
68.5%Draw
13.4%Ajax
18.1%127
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 22:49:46
FT
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Pens.
(2-4)
Result
Baez
Fritz
Fritz
2 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
Struff
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
Paolini
3 2
6 6
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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