Europa League
Oct 26, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The American Express Community Stadium
  • Kaoru Mitoma 22' yellowcard
  • Jan Paul van Hecke 31' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro 42' goal
  • Ansu Fati 53' goal

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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News

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Marseille 2 - 2 Brighton

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
AEK Athens 1 - 1 Ajax

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 38.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.93%) and 2-3 (4.55%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.53% (-0.06)
Draw 21.51% (+0.01)
Ajax 39.96% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

71.4% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.95% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 28.05% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 51.19% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 48.81% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 31.84% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 68.16% (+0.06)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 84.23% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 15.77% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 55.09% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 44.91% (+0.08)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 84.78% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.22% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.12% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 43.88% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion 38.53%
Draw 21.51%
Ajax 39.96%
Brighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.47% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.1%
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 38.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 7.26% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 21.51%
Ajax
1-2 @ 7.86% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.55% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.52% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.26% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.67% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 39.96%