Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
2 - 4
Feyenoord

Parrott (16'), Lamprou (72')
Fitz-Jim (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gimenez (6', 61', 82'), Maduro (66')
Paixao (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 AZ
Sunday, November 12 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.02%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Feyenoord
16.97% ( 0.52)	19% ( 0.01)	64.02% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 59.83% (

1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.67% (

1.01)

34.33% (

-1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.76% (

1.13)

56.24% (

-1.13)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

1.23)

33.38% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

1.33)

70.01% (

-1.32)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.82% (

0.16)

10.18% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.55% (

0.36)

33.45% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 16.97%

Feyenoord 64.02%

Draw 19%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.86% Total : 16.97%	1-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.26% Total : 19%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 7.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 3.86% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 2-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.26% Total : 64.02%