Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
2 - 2
Excelsior

Bozdogan (70'), Sagnan (90+3')
Sagnan (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Driouech (53'), Lamprou (62')
Baas (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 FC Twente
Sunday, November 5 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Excelsior 1-1 AZ
Saturday, November 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 55.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
55.42% ( 0.65)	22.18% ( -0.24)	22.4% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 58% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.9% (

0.61)

41.1% (

-0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.51% (

0.61)

63.49% (

-0.61)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

0.42)

14.74% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.04% (

0.81)

42.95% (

-0.8)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

-0.03)

31.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

-0.03)

68.43% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 55.42%

SBV Excelsior 22.4%

Draw 22.17%

FC Utrecht	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 55.42%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.17%	1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.4%