Eredivisie | Gameweek 11

Nov 4, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
1 - 1
AZ

Sandra (90+1')
Lamprou (7'), Baas (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lahdo (72')
de Wit (25'), Bazoer (68'), Moller Wolfe (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

Last Game: Volendam 3-1 Excelsior
Sunday, October 29 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Nijmegen
Sunday, October 29 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 0-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
21.04% ( 0.03)	21.45% ( 0.01)	57.52% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.57% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.57% (

0.01)

39.43% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.23% (

0.01)

61.77% (

-0)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.73% (

0.03)

32.27% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.23% (

0.03)

68.77% (

-0.03)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.48% (

-0)

13.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.43% (

-0.01)

40.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 21.04%

AZ Alkmaar 57.52%

Draw 21.45%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.04%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.45%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.59% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.86% 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 57.52%