Eredivisie | Gameweek 10

Dec 6, 2023 at 6pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 2
Nijmegen

Pavlidis (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dost (11'), Mattsson (31')
van Wermeskerken (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: AZ 1-4 Aston Villa
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Almere City
Saturday, October 21 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.26%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for NEC had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
65.26% ( 0.27)	19.97% ( -0.09)	14.75% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.58% (

-0.01)

43.42% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.18% (

-0.01)

65.81% (

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.49% (

0.07)

12.5% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.49% (

0.16)

38.5% (

-0.16)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.2% (

-0.27)

41.8% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.74% (

-0.23)

78.26% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 65.25%

NEC 14.76%

Draw 19.98%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	NEC
2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 65.25%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.98%	0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 14.76%