Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 12, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

Stadion Feijenoord

Feyenoord
1 - 0
AZ

Maduro (24')
Maduro (44'), Zerrouki (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martins Indi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Feyenoord and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Feyenoord

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Feyenoord
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 AZ
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 62.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 16.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
Feyenoord	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
62.66% ( 0.24)	20.4% ( -0.04)	16.94% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.94% (

-0.18)

41.05% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.55% (

-0.19)

63.44% (

0.18)

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.47% (

0.01)

12.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.45% (

0.03)

38.55% (

-0.03)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.46% (

-0.35)

37.54% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.68% (

-0.35)

74.32% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Feyenoord 62.65%

AZ Alkmaar 16.94%

Draw 20.4%

Feyenoord	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 3.54% Total : 62.65%	1-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.4%	1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 16.94%