Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 21.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.