La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
2 - 1
Atletico

Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Manacor 0-3 Las Palmas
Tuesday, October 31 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.91%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Atletico Madrid
28.29% ( -0.09)	25.81% ( -0.06)	45.91% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 52.03% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.27% (

0.18)

51.73% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.49% (

0.15)

73.51% (

-0.15)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

0.03)

32.86% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

0.03)

69.43% (

-0.03)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.5% (

0.15)

22.51% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.93% (

0.22)

56.07% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 28.29%

Atletico Madrid 45.9%

Draw 25.8%

Las Palmas	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 28.29%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.9%