La Liga
Gameweek
11
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Falalog.png)
-
Rodrigo Riquelme
26'
-
Alvaro Morata
45'+1'
-
Marcos Llorente
71'
-
Mario Hermoso
71'
-
Jan Oblak
83'
-
Ruben Duarte
71'
-
Ianis Hagi
85'
-
Ander Guevara
90'+6'
Atletico Madrid vs Alaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F38%2Fatmrma.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result
Atletico Madrid
56.1%
▼
(-0.23)
Draw
24.82%
▲
(+0.14)
Alaves
19.08%
▲
(+0.10)
Both Teams to Score:
45%
▼
(-0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.07%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 2.5
55.93%
▲
(+0.36)
Over 3.5
22.96%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
77.04%
▲
(+0.30)
Over 4.5
10.09%
▼
(-0.19)
Under 4.5
89.91%
▲
(+0.18)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
80.11%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 0.5
19.89%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
47.99%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
52.01%
▲
(+0.37)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5
56.17%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
43.83%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
20.02%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 1.5
79.98%
▲
(+0.09)
Score analysis
Atletico Madrid
56.08%
Draw
24.82%
Alaves
19.08%
Atletico Madrid
1-0
@
14.07%
▲
(+0.09)
2-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 56.08%
2-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 56.08%
Draw
1-1
@
11.61%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.82%
0-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.82%
Alaves
0-1
@
7.19%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.08%
1-2 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 19.08%
