La Liga Gameweek 13
Atletico
Nov 12, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Axel Witsel 45'+1' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • Samuel Lino 85' goal
  • goal Gerard Moreno 20'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ilias Akhomach 77'

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Nov 3, 2023 8.00pm
Las Palmas 2 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 5.30pm
Villarreal 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.19%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 50.19% ▲ (+0.46)
Draw 23.28% ▲ (+0.17)
Villarreal 26.53% ▼ (-0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.95% ▼ (-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.01% ▼ (-1.27)
Under 2.5 41.99% ▲ (+1.27)
Over 3.5 35.6% ▼ (-1.29)
Under 3.5 64.4% ▲ (+1.29)
Over 4.5 18.72% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 4.5 81.28% ▲ (+0.98)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.13% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 0.5 16.86% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 1.5 53.12% ▼ (-0.55)
Under 1.5 46.88% ▲ (+0.55)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% ▼ (-1.12)
Under 0.5 29.1% ▲ (+1.12)
Over 1.5 34.98% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 1.5 65.02% ▲ (+1.41)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 50.19%
Draw 23.27%
Villarreal 26.53%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.6% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.41)
2-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 50.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.28)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.27%
Villarreal
1-2 @ 6.66% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.15)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 26.53%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 38
Villarreal
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Ceramica
Atletico
  • Nicolas Jackson 9' goal
  • Jorge Pascual 90'+2' goal
  • goal Angel Correa 18'
  • goal Angel Correa 56'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Atletico
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Joao Felix 48' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Nahuel Molina 90'+4' redcard
  • goal Yeremi Pino 73'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Alex Baena 90'+4'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 90'+9'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Villarreal
Jan 9, 2022 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Atletico
  • Pau Torres 29' goal
  • Alberto Moreno 58' goal
  • goal Angel Correa 10'
  • goal Geoffrey Kondogbia 67'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 71'
  • redcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 90'+2'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Atletico
Aug 29, 2021 9.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Villarreal
  • Giuliano Simeone 16' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 28' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lemar 45' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 56' goal
  • Luis Suarez 59' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 85' yellowcard
  • Aissa Mandi 90'+4' goal
  • goal Manu Trigueros 52'
  • yellowcard Gerard Moreno 61'
  • goal Arnaut Danjuma 74'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Rulli 85'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Villarreal
Feb 28, 2021 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Jaume Costa 32' yellowcard
  • Raul Albiol 51' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Pedraza 25' (OG)
  • yellowcard Felipe 35'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 47'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 45'+5'
  • goal Joao Felix 69'
La Liga Gameweek 5
Atletico
Oct 3, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Villarreal
  • Renan Lodi 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 50'
  • yellowcard Vicente Iborra 79'

Form Data

Atletico 6 - 0 Celtic
Las Palmas 2 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 1 Alaves
Celtic 2 - 2 Atletico
Celta Vigo 0 - 3 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 1 Real Sociedad
M. Haifa 1 - 2 Villarreal
Villarreal 2 - 3 Athletic Bilbao
Chiclana 0 - 5 Villarreal
Granada 2 - 3 Villarreal
Villarreal 1 - 1 Alaves
Villarreal 1 - 2 Las Palmas