Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.