Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Haifa win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Hapoel Katamon had a probability of 20.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Hapoel Katamon win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Haifa would win this match.