Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
37.44% ( 0.08) | 25.05% ( -0.01) | 37.5% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 57.59% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% ( 0.04) | 45.86% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% ( 0.04) | 68.18% ( -0.04) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.06) | 24.12% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.57% ( 0.08) | 58.42% ( -0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.02) | 24.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.62% ( -0.02) | 58.37% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 11.76% 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |