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La Liga

Granada logo
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Villarreal logo

Granada
2 - 3
Villarreal

Sanchez (29'), Uzuni (34')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Moreno (18', 23' pen.), Sorloth (28')
Baena (50'), Albiol (67'), Romero (73'), Parejo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Granada
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawVillarreal
30.53% (1.616 1.62)26.3% (0.964 0.96)43.17% (-2.576 -2.58)
Both teams to score 51.76% (-2.155 -2.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (-3.214 -3.21)52.68% (3.217 3.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-2.817 -2.82)74.32% (2.822 2.82)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.485 -0.48)31.7% (0.491 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.562 -0.56)68.12% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (-2.595 -2.6)24.22% (2.598 2.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (-3.828 -3.83)58.56% (3.833 3.83)
Score Analysis
    Granada 30.53%
    Villarreal 43.16%
    Draw 26.29%
GranadaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.963 0.96)
2-1 @ 7.19% (0.179 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.07% (0.492 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.164 0.16)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.53%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.47 0.47)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.93 0.93)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.271 -0.27)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.55 0.55)
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.347 -0.35)
0-2 @ 7.72% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.19% (-0.513 -0.51)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.392 -0.39)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.331 -0.33)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.315 -0.32)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.254 -0.25)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.16%

How you voted: Granada vs Villarreal

Granada
19.3%
Draw
35.1%
Villarreal
45.6%
114
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Granada
1-4
Villarreal
Milla (61' pen.)
Sanchez (32'), Uzuni (34'), Torrente (80')
Danjuma (35' pen., 39', 81'), Gomez (90+6')
Lo Celso (33'), Estupinan (45+4'), Aurier (60'), Chukwueze (68'), Asenjo (75'), Iborra (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Villarreal
0-0
Granada
Foyth (20'), Moreno (41'), Capoue (53'), Pena (85')
Foyth (82')
Sanchez (71')
> Preview
Apr 3, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Granada
0-3
Villarreal

Soldado (38'), Quini (45+1')
Moreno (9' pen., 18', 60')
Parejo (22'), Gaspar (43')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Villarreal
2-2
Granada
Pena (29'), Gomez (65' pen.)
Trigueros (80'), Coquelin (90+5')
Soldado (21'), Kenedy (75')
Milla (15'), Herrera (35'), Machis (90'), Duarte (90+5')
Brice Eteki (90+1')
> Preview
Jun 19, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Granada
0-1
Villarreal
> Preview