Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 92.47%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Rubi had a probability of 1.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.57%) and 0-2 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.73%), while for a Rubi win it was 1-0 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.