Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Camp Municipal d'Olot
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rubi
1 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

M. (86+86')
D (1'), Picon D. (1'), O (31'), Morell (31'), Mulero (84'), S. (90+3'), Monso (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ares (50', 57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Rubi and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rubi

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Valencia
Sunday, October 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 92.47%. A draw had a probability of 5.8% and a win for Rubi had a probability of 1.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-3 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.57%) and 0-2 (11.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.73%), while for a Rubi win it was 1-0 (0.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
RubiDrawAthletic Bilbao
1.78% (0.002 0)5.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)92.47% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Both teams to score 33.21% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.3% (0.010000000000005 0.01)23.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)43.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Rubi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.15% (0.039000000000001 0.04)65.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.64% (0.0181 0.02)93.36% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)2.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.67%
Score Analysis
    Rubi 1.78%
    Athletic Bilbao 92.46%
    Draw 5.75%
RubiDrawAthletic Bilbao
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 1.78%
1-1 @ 2.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 5.75%
0-3 @ 14.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 11.71%
0-5 @ 9.03% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-3 @ 5.86% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-6 @ 5.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-5 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-7 @ 2.77% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-6 @ 2.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-8 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-7 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 92.46%

How you voted: Rubi vs Athletic Bilbao

Rubi
0.0%
Draw
22.2%
Athletic Bilbao
77.8%
9