Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Maccabi Haifa had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Maccabi Haifa win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.