Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Netanya win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Hapoel Tel Aviv had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Netanya win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Hapoel Tel Aviv win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.