Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 71.27% ( | 17.75% ( | 10.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( | 42.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( | 64.93% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.36% ( | 10.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.53% ( | 34.47% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.75% ( | 47.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.33% ( | 82.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Mallorca |
| 2-0 @ 12.61% ( 1-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 3-0 @ 9.42% ( 3-1 @ 7.07% ( 4-0 @ 5.28% ( 4-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.92% Total : 71.26% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 2-2 @ 3.55% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.75% | 0-1 @ 3.77% ( 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 10.98% |