Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 7, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Til (33'), Pepi (78')
Ramalho (42'), Pepi (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Walemark (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 PSV
Sunday, December 3 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.17%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heerenveen
72.93% ( 0.03)	15.07% ( -0.02)	12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.82% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.03% (

0.05)

25.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.82% (

0.06)

46.17% (

-0.06)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.8% (

0.02)

6.19% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.58% (

0.05)

23.42% (

-0.05)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.9% (

0.01)

34.1% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.21% (

0.01)

70.78% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 72.93%

Heerenveen 12%

Draw 15.07%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	Heerenveen
2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 4.3% Total : 72.93%	1-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 15.07%	1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 12%