Eredivisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 25, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Sittard

Haye (45+4' pen., 62' pen.), Nicolaescu (88')
van Amersfoort (13')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guth (31'), Cordoba (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 4-1 Heracles
Friday, November 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 16.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
63.85% ( -0.01)	19.48% ( 0)	16.67% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.33% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.76% (

-0.01)

37.25% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.55% (

-0.01)

59.46% (

0.02)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.94% (

-0)

11.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.58% (

-0.01)

35.43% (

0.02)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47% (

35.54% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.7% (

72.3% (

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 63.85%

Fortuna Sittard 16.67%

Draw 19.48%

Heerenveen	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 63.85%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.1% 0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.48%	1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 16.67%