Eredivisie | Gameweek 12

Nov 10, 2023 at 7pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
4 - 1
Heracles

Guth (6'), Robberechts (25'), Halilovic (32'), Sierhuis (40')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Engels (89')
Engels (27'), Scheperman (43'), Bruns (53'), Wieckhoff (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 0-6 PSV
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Heracles
41.84% ( 0.07)	24.41% ( 0)	33.75% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 59.32% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.6% (

-0.04)

43.4% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2% (

-0.04)

65.8% (

0.04)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.14% (

0.02)

20.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.44% (

0.03)

53.56% (

-0.02)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.96% (

-0.06)

25.04% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.29% (

-0.09)

59.71% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 41.84%

Heracles 33.75%

Draw 24.41%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.84%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 33.75%