MX23RW : Monday, April 29 09:39:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
4 - 1
Heerenveen

Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Heerenveen

Ajax experienced a new-manager bounce in the last match and will be looking to keep the momentum going as they approach their must-win Europa League encounter against Brighton & Hove Albion next week. Last week's win could be the turning point in the season for the hosts, and we fancy them to go back-to-back in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
62.73% (0.223 0.22) 19.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 17.97% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09% (-0.71700000000001 -0.72)33.91% (0.721 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (-0.818 -0.82)55.76% (0.822 0.82)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (-0.151 -0.15)10.38% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (-0.349 -0.35)33.9% (0.353 0.35)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.715 -0.72)32.04% (0.719 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.822 -0.82)68.51% (0.827 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 62.73%
    Heerenveen 17.97%
    Draw 19.29%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 62.73%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.29%
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Heerenveen
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Heerenveen
1-2
Ajax
Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht31121094543246
8Sparta RotterdamSparta31127124643343
9Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3198143655-1935
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3167183152-2125
17FC VolendamVolendam3147203075-4519
RVitesse3155212570-452


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