Eredivisie Gameweek 11
Ajax
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Johan Cruijff Arena
Heerenveen
  • Steven Bergwijn 25' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 42' goal
  • Branco van den Boomen 60' yellowcard
  • Chuba Akpom 84' goal
  • Chuba Akpom 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Pelle van Amersfoort 40'
  • goal Luuk Brouwers 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Simon Olsson 81'

Ajax vs Heerenveen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Nov 2, 2023 7.00pm
Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Brian Brobbey

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 5.45pm
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Heracles
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pelle van Amersfoort

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result

Ajax 62.73% ▲ (+0.23)
Draw 19.29% ▲ (+0.05)
Heerenveen 17.97% ▼ (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.9% ▼ (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.09% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 2.5 33.91% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 44.24% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 3.5 55.76% ▲ (+0.83)
Over 4.5 25.64% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 4.5 74.36% ▲ (+0.71)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 89.62% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 0.5 10.38% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 1.5 66.1% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 1.5 33.9% ▲ (+0.36)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 67.96% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 0.5 32.04% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 1.5 31.49% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 1.5 68.51% ▲ (+0.83)

Score analysis

Ajax 62.73%
Draw 19.29%
Heerenveen 17.97%
Ajax
2-1 @ 9.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.21)
1-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.24)
3-1 @ 7.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 4.15% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.07)
5-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 62.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.29%
Heerenveen
1-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 17.97%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
2
4
HT : 1 3
FT
Ajax
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 42' goal
  • Sydney van Hooijdonk 79' goal
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 10'
  • goal Edson Alvarez 16'
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 19'
  • goal Kenneth Taylor 52'
Eredivisie Gameweek 6
Ajax
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Heerenveen
  • Davy Klaassen 4' goal
  • Kenneth Taylor 16' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 48' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 59' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 70' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 29
Ajax
May 11, 2022 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT
Heerenveen
  • Nicolas Tagliafico 19' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 33' goal
  • Sebastien Haller 38' goal
  • Brian Brobbey 85' goal
  • Edson Alvarez 90' goal
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Ajax
  • Nicolas Madsen 55' yellowcard
  • Rami Kaib 61' yellowcard
  • Milan van Ewijk 90' yellowcard
  • Sven van Beek 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastien Haller 24'
  • goal David Neres 75'
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Heerenveen
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Ajax
  • Mitchell van Bergen 27' goal
  • goal Dusan Tadic 36'
  • goal Sebastien Haller 61'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Tagliafico 86'
KNVB Beker
Heerenveen
Mar 3, 2021 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax
  • goal Davy Klaassen 19'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 63'
  • goal David Neres 77'

Form Data

Ajax 2 - 0 Volendam
PSV 5 - 2 Ajax
Brighton 2 - 0 Ajax
Utrecht 4 - 3 Ajax
Ajax 1 - 2 AZ
AEK Athens 1 - 1 Ajax
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Heracles
AZ 3 - 0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 1 - 1 Nijmegen
FC Twente 1 - 0 Heerenveen
Heerenveen 0 - 3 Excelsior
Feyenoord 6 - 1 Heerenveen