Heerenveen

1 - 3

Sittard

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.