Eredivisie | Gameweek 14

Dec 1, 2023 at 7pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
3 - 0
Almere City

van Amersfoort (15', 70'), van Beek (40')
Haye (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Royo (39'), van Bruggen (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Almere City

All competitions

Last Game: Almere City 0-5 Heracles
Sunday, November 26 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	Almere City
60.68% ( -0.1)	20.47% ( 0.01)	18.84% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.86% (

0.07)

38.13% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.59% (

0.08)

60.4% (

-0.08)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.81% (

-0.01)

12.18% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.16% (

-0.01)

37.83% (

0.01)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.31% (

0.13)

33.68% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.66% (

0.14)

70.33% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 60.68%

Almere City 18.84%

Draw 20.47%

Heerenveen	Draw	Almere City
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.01% Total : 60.68%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.47%	1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.47% 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 18.84%