Eredivisie Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Abe Lenstra Stadion
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 15' goal
  • Sven van Beek 40' goal
  • Thom Haye 68' yellowcard
  • Pelle van Amersfoort 70' goal
  • yellowcard Manel Royo 39'
  • yellowcard Damian van Bruggen 43'

Heerenveen vs Almere City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Last game
Nov 25, 2023 5.45pm
Heerenveen 3 - 0 Sittard
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Pelle van Amersfoort

Almere City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2023 11.15am
Almere City 0 - 5 Heracles
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Thomas Robinet

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.

Result

Heerenveen 60.68% (-0.11)
Draw 20.47% (+0.02)
Almere City 18.84% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.23% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.86% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 38.13% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 39.59% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 60.4% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 21.81% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 78.18% (-0.07)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5 87.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 62.16% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 37.83% (+0.02)

Almere City Goals

Over 0.5 66.31% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 33.68% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 29.66% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 70.33% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Heerenveen 60.68%
Draw 20.47%
Almere City 18.84%
Heerenveen
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.64% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.78% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.54% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 60.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.47%
Almere City
1-2 @ 5.12% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 18.84%